One Man’s Discovery Sinks Major Climate Study

Nicholas Lewis, who blogs at Climate Etc. (judithcurry.com) questioned the data in a major study claiming oceans are warming much fast than previously thought. He was right, and the Journal Nature had to admit it. Bill Whittle Now talks about how politics has ruined science.

The San Diego Tribune Union reports:

Climate contrarian uncovers scientific error, upends major ocean warming study

Researchers with UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Princeton University recently walked back scientific findings published last month that showed oceans have been heating up dramatically faster than previously thought as a result of climate change.

In a paper published Oct. 31 in the journal Nature, researchers found that ocean temperatures had warmed 60 percent more than outlined by the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

However, the conclusion came under scrutiny after mathematician Nic Lewis, a critic of the scientific consensus around human-induced warming, posted a critique of the paper on the blog of Judith Curry, another well-known critic.

“The findings of the … paper were peer reviewed and published in the world’s premier scientific journal and were given wide coverage in the English-speaking media,” Lewis wrote. “Despite this, a quick review of the first page of the paper was sufficient to raise doubts as to the accuracy of its results.”

Co-author Ralph Keeling, climate scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, took full blame and thanked Lewis for alerting him to the mistake.

“When we were confronted with his insight it became immediately clear there was an issue there,” he said. “We’re grateful to have it be pointed out quickly so that we could correct it quickly.”

Glenn Beck tells us:

The left cries “science” about anything they want to consider a settled matter. Those who disagree with the left’s climate change narrative question this “science.” So, the climate change crowd are branded hysterical tree-huggers, and the anti-climate change crowd are naïve hicks.

Just two weeks ago, a study published in the scientific journal Nature claimed that the oceans are warming much faster than anyone previously thought. Cue the panic and blame the President! It was a high-profile story splashed across major media outlets who were eager to promote more science that confirms one of the left’s fundamental doctrines.

The study claimed ocean temperatures have risen around 60% higher than the estimate by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But Nicholas Lewis, a British mathematician and climate-change critic quickly found a “major problem” with the study’s conclusion.

Then yesterday, the two scientists who wrote the study admitted Lewis is right about the mistakes they made in their calculations. Now they say oceans aren’t actually warming as fast as they reported. Climate scientist Ralph Keeling, who co-authored the report, says they miscalculated their margin of error – which is 10 to 70% – much larger than they originally thought.

Now they say oceans aren’t actually warming as fast as they reported.

A 10 to 70 percent margin of error? I thought this climate change science was absolute. Imagine if your job had a margin of error that generous.

Keeling said:

Our error margins are too big now to really weigh in on the precise amount of warming that’s going on in the ocean. We really muffed the error margins.

The whole incident is being laughed off as a minor error. But if it wasn’t for some British dude poring over this research in his basement and willing to cry foul, this latest climate change “science” would continue to be broadcast as absolute truth. Just like it always is.

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